During the fall quarter, most companies start focusing on how they will close their year (in terms of revenue and gross profit) as well as beginning the process of updating their sales (revenue) targets for the following year. It’s also the time that management drops the “stretch-goals” bomb or what one mentor of mine used to like to call “BHAG” sales target (Big-Hairy-Audacious-Goal). Although I am in favor of pushing the limits of my team, these stretch-goal methodologies rarely work as designed and because they are structured as “win big or lose big”, in most cases have a real demotivating effect on your teams and organization. Focusing on these four areas will lead you to better results, more consistent targeting, and a team that is motivated for the long run.
One word of caution, if you try this approach you need to commit all the way. A half attempt at this would be disastrous. You need to commit to change in order to change your culture and to get the results that you want. One last thing, if you are like me, you are now saying to yourself, “that’s all well and good, but my external stakeholders (lenders, principles, shareholders, managers, etc.) aren’t sympathetic to this type of curved lined forecasting”. I get that too. The answer is simple. Once have your current state defined and your desired outcomes articulated, take a conservative approach to this forecast and decide whether it is good enough for your external stakeholders. If it is, you have your worst case scenario that should only be effected by upside surprises. If it’s not, no hoping or praying for you to achieve your stretch goals is going to make it any prettier in the long run. Make the strategic adjustments now and be better off at the end of the year.
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